All Dressed Up and Nowhere to Go
Mike Hennessy checks in with his first report for part 2 of the Bermuda 1-2.
So…it kinda sucks when you get all dressed up for a party and the band fails to show up.
I was woken up this morning by a rooster crowing at about 4:30 am. It took me about 15 seconds to fall back asleep again. At the more reasonable hour of 7:00 I was up, got showered and headed off to the boat. A few of us were on the docks; taking sail covers off, running sheets, putting winch handles in their pockets and stowing gear. At 8:45, I finished the chores and went up to the Clubhouse to pull down the GRIBs and weather reports.
The short story (and it ain’t that short) is that there were three total upper-air impulse disturbances heading off the east coast that were impacting weather for the next few days. One Thursday, Friday and Saturday. These impulses provide more energy to surface features, as they show 40 to 50 knot winds aloft (note: aloft meaning way the heck up there) that then force the propogation of an associated surface low and a trailing cold front to that surface low.
The time surrounding the scheduled start was not going to be impacted by these features, and instead we are currently being invluded by a surface front that is currently south of Bermuda and is expected to slide north east across the course. We were going to be getting E-SE winds (maybe 10 to 15) and then gradually get SW winds behind that front as it moved through. This would mean breeze filling in from the west, and predominately broad and beam reaching for the fleet in 10-15 knot winds. We were not expecting to be below 10 knots except perhaps for a short time on Saturday. It was, however, expected to be a bit unstable along the front as it moved through, with some rain, limited visability and the chance for thunder storms.